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Microsoft Reports Record Growth in Copilot Paid Subscriptions, While Hiding Disappointing Results
Despite Microsoft management's bold statements about "record growth" in subscriptions to the AI service Copilot, the actual figures paint a far less impressive picture. According to the company's published financial report, only 3.3% of users have signed up for a paid subscription.
During a presentation to investors, Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella announced reaching the milestone of 15 million paid Copilot subscriptions—a 160% increase compared to the previous year. However, when compared to the total user base, the picture looks different:
- The total number of Microsoft 365 users with access to the basic features of the AI assistant is about 450 million people.
- The share of paid subscribers from the total base is only 3.3%.
- The cost of a Copilot subscription as an add-on to Microsoft 365 is $30.
The situation looks particularly stark against the backdrop of the company's colossal spending on AI development. In the last quarter of 2025 alone, Microsoft directed $37.5 billion towards these goals.
Analysts from Directions on Microsoft point out the company's reporting methodology: Microsoft emphasizes the absolute growth in the number of subscriptions, leaving the extremely low percentage of paying users relative to the total base in the shadows.
The main channel for promoting Copilot is integration into the Microsoft 365 package, where the service is presented as a paid add-on to existing office applications. At the same time, the standalone Copilot application is being distributed much less actively.
When asked about the return on investment, Microsoft CFO Amy Hood stated that evaluating success solely by Azure revenue growth is incorrect. According to her, a significant portion of AI capacity is initially directed towards the company's internal products, including Copilot.
Currently, an active reassessment of the strategy for implementing AI functions in Windows 11 is underway within Microsoft. This may indicate a search for more effective approaches to monetizing AI technologies.
The low percentage of paid subscriptions calls into question the speed of recouping the company's multi-billion dollar investments in artificial intelligence. Microsoft faces a difficult task: to prove to investors that current investments in AI will bring sustainable profit in the long term, rather than remaining a costly experiment.